Analysis worth
reading twice.
Long-form analysis applying the TLP doctrine to current NHS data and policy. Dated, citable, and written for boards, not journals.
What the NHS workforce data says when you test it properly.
The first annual edition reports the whole battery rather than the results that worked: seventy-nine pre-specified tests, twelve passed, fifty failed, with a section on every construct that failed its threshold and three of our own earlier published claims corrected in it. The register itself, test by test, is available under NDA. Around that sit four findings from the panel, the absence relationship observed in the six months after agency share fell, and what a board can test against its own data. Built from the same public-data panel as every finding on this site.
NHS Staff Survey, workforce statistics, provider accounts
Agency spend fell by 40 per cent in two years. Why did the dependency not move with it?
The Agency Debt Cycle is not a procurement failure. It is a structural mechanism, and it is a doctrine construct rather than a validated diagnostic. This paper sets out what we tested, what did not explain agency dependency, and what that leaves.
FIRST OF SIX PAPERS, ONE PER NAMED MECHANISMFull-length published work
Both documents above are downloadable in full. Further papers are listed here as they are released.